It’s very exciting to be able to watch Stripe build their own blockchain Tempo. It is akin to an experienced poker player going all-in on a hand that no one else can see. Is it genius, or reckless? They’ve passed the $1.1 billion mark on acquisitions such as Bridge and Privy, suggesting a big vision. Here’s what I think is going on. But is a payments-focused blockchain really the future, or just a new corporate gilded cage?

Control vs. True Decentralization

Here’s where things get interesting and frankly, a bit creepy. Stripe has their eyes on the prize too – total control – over stablecoin issuance, wallets, everything. We understand that’s their prerogative as a business, of course. Isn’t that counter to the point of blockchain technology — that it is supposed to be decentralized? To remove the gatekeepers? It’s basically the equivalent of a music record label demanding to own the whole internet, but only if it means they can control the distribution of all music.

After all, the whole promise of what blockchain could deliver is getting rid of that middleman. Another form of dapper science Are we blindly just substituting one middleman for another, perhaps only a somewhat more effective one. We're trading the devil we know for a Stripe-branded devil we don't.

Think of it this way: imagine if Amazon decided to launch its own internet. Would we applaud the innovation, or decry the consolidation of power? Tempo feels a bit like that.

Regulatory Minefield Ahead!

Let’s face it, stablecoins and cross-border transactions are regulatory lightning rods. Stripe’s laser focus on Fortune 500 clients doesn’t protect them, it brings them front and center into the crosshairs. SEC and Treasury Department regulators are already closing in. A centralized payment system, even one powered by blockchain technology, will certainly face robust and fierce scrutiny.

Are they really ready for the legal challenges and compliance expenses that will surely come down the pipeline? Remember Facebook's Libra (now Diem)? It was the same concept, but regulators killed it dead in the crib with the weight of their worry. Equipping Tempo with smart code isn’t merely a tech development—it’s an attempt to navigate a cumbersome, treacherous, and rapidly evolving legal terrain.

This isn't just about Stripe's balance sheet. Overly burdening regulation could create unintended consequences for the whole crypto space. When a high-profile good like Tempo encourages this kind of regulation, it kills innovation and drives development overseas. This new regulatory path should terrify anyone in the crypto space.

Bridge Acquisition Justified?

That $1.1 billion price tag for Bridge is eye-watering. Was it a long-term strategic masterstroke, or short-term overpayment driven by crypto mania? Were there really no better, cheaper ways to accomplish what Stripe needed to accomplish?

Let's connect this to something unexpected: We're constantly told that housing prices are dictated by location, location, location. In tech, is it acquisitions, acquisitions, acquisitions? It’s not okay to sell something just because you can sell it.

Consider the opportunity cost. Stripe might have spent that $1.1 billion on developing its core product. It might have, too—diversified into untapped markets, or poured money into new, safer business opportunities.

Is it truly needed?

For one, there are already a dozen or more different blockchains competing to win out in the payments space. What does Tempo offer that they don't? Superior speed? Lower fees? Enhanced security? If the answer is “marginally better”, then the investment is hard to justify.

That Ethereum compatibility might be Tempo’s saving grace, providing an easier road for developers to build their integrations. That's a double-edged sword. It also means Tempo is ultimately not immune to many of the security flaws and scalability problems affecting Ethereum.

Perhaps Stripe is just taking the long view here, wagering that blockchain will be the technology for payments in the future. That’s a huge bet, and it’s anything but certain.

Stripe's move into blockchain is undeniably bold. It’s a still high-stakes gamble that stands to revolutionize the payments industry—or become its cautionary tale. Only time will tell if Tempo is a genius move or a $1.1 billion blunder. One thing is for sure: the entire crypto world will be watching closely.